Chapter 159 Motives and Techniques (Part 2)
"Because as the 'sister of Prince Hazan', if she wants to maintain her status by my side after marrying me, she must ensure that the alliance between me and Prince Hazan is stable, and the biggest enemy in front of this stability is Illyri. Europe."
"Yes," Celia nodded, "After I heard about the relationship between Illyrio and the commander of the Purple Ship Fleet from Prince Hazan, I quickly guessed Illyrio's identity based on the information in the original work. Ambition, and also understood that he could never surrender to Prince Hazan.
At the same time, I am not sure which side you will be on when there is a conflict between Governor Illyrio and Prince Hazan in the future, so to be on the safe side, I need to make Prince Hazan your only choice. "
"But what I don't understand is," Celia said immediately, "how could you investigate our initial actions in such detail?"
"I still say the same thing, players are not gods and cannot create miracles. No matter how well you hide now, as long as I start from the beginning. That is when players are most vulnerable and have the least resources. At that time Players must take a lot of risky actions in order to develop quickly, and starting from that point in the investigation can always reveal flaws.”
"How did you find out about the traitor?" Celia asked.
“No,” Ian shook his head, “That’s part of the speculation.
Because you once lied to the other priests in the temple that you met a man who called himself Gini Taime, and that time happened to be when Ander Pool sent people to the Red Temple to investigate the death of a certain resident. .
You want to show Ander Pool false information that Gini Taime is still alive, and put the blame for the death of the resident on Gini Taime, thereby attracting Ander Poole's attention. .
But the problem is, except for the name that Gini Taime used on the wanted poster at the Qoma Inn at the beginning, he has always used other names at other times. How can Ander Poole use the name Gini Taime? What about getting interested?
Therefore, I speculate that your fourth ally did not seek an alliance with you as agreed, but instead joined Ander Poole's team. The resident who died in the Red Temple at that time was the traitor, and you were the murderer who killed him.
Although there are no further details, judging from your previous reaction, I guessed everything right, didn't I? "
"Yes, Ander Poole almost found out about me at that time," Celia nodded and admitted, "I had to divert his attention, after all, it was I who was trying to get Prince Hazan to have a relationship with you. critical moment.
If I let Hazan's men get rid of Ander Poole, you will suspect that Prince Hazan has a player on his side. It's not worth the loss in my grand scheme of things. "
"Then I really appreciate your compliments." Ian twitched his lips.
"Well, now that you have solved my doubts, let me tell you Prince Hazan's plan. I bet you will never guess it this time."
"No, I think I've deduced eight or nine points of Hazan's plan." Ian interrupted Celia with a smile.
"How is that possible? Are you kidding?" Celia said in confusion. She thought it was time for her to show off, because she had a considerable degree of confidence in the subtlety of her entire plan.
But this guy actually told her that he had already guessed eight or nine points?
"Prince Hazan's allies are the Tetrus family, no, to be precise, Governor Guerrero Tetrus himself." Ian gave a direct answer.
"You?" Celia jumped up. "Your green seer skills are not advanced, but legendary, right? Or, you just admit that you have become the Three-Eyed Crow?"
"For a true reasoner, if someone points out one aspect of a fact to him, he can not only deduce all aspects of the fact, but also all the consequences that will arise from it." Ian again A quote from Sherlock Holmes was once quoted, "After I determined the identity and purpose of the player behind Hazan, the entire context of the incident was actually fully presented before my eyes."
"The next puzzle I need to solve," Ian continued, "is the method you used to persuade Hazan, and the method Hazan prepared to use against Illyrio.
Hazan must solve two problems if he wants to kill Illyrio, one is how to do it, and the other is how to deal with the aftermath.
Launching a successful assassination was the most perfect thing. After all, as long as there was no evidence to prove that the assassin was sent by him, he would save himself the trouble of dealing with the aftermath.
But I have been with Governor Illyrio for almost two months, and I know his level of personal protection very well. It can be said that except for sending the faceless men, I can't think of anyone who can successfully assassinate him.
But the Faceless Men never guarantee the time to complete the task. Just like when Jaqen H'ghar faced Arya's proposal to kill Tywin Lannister or Cersei, he told Erya that this time might be It will take a year or more.
The strength of the Faceless Men lies in disguise rather than absolute force. As long as they focus on a certain target, with patience and time, they can indeed kill anyone. But to kill Illyrio in such a short time, I don't think it's enough.
Illyrio started out as an assassin. When he and Varys first became successful, all the assassins in Pentos wanted to kill them, but no one succeeded. Illyrio has extremely rich experience in dealing with assassins. That is what he professional fields.
Therefore, regarding Hazan's method of attacking, I prefer to kill by force.
Ambush and sneak attack were the second method I thought of, but it is too difficult to implement. There are Illyrio's spies everywhere in Pentos. Any movement of troops by Hazan in Pentos city will be blocked by Illyrio. The spy mastered it, thus arousing Illyrio's vigilance.
Moreover, even if the sneak attack succeeds, he will not be able to deal with the aftermath. After all, Hazan is already incompatible with the Volantis Party. If he tries to sneak attack Illyrio at this time, he will face Governor Illyrio's allies. , the Volantis Party, and the old governor of Lotalus who defended the order of Pentos.
While ruling out the possibility of ambush and sneak attack, I also summarized the two points that Hazan must ensure if he wants to kill Illyrio.
One is to ensure that his troop movement will not be discovered by Illyrio. This is impossible, so he at least needs to ensure that Illyrio will not be suspicious of his troop movement.
Second, if he wants a perfect aftermath, he must have allies who are strong enough to help him win the next civil war - and there are only two people in Pantos who meet this condition. His sworn enemy, Governor Guerrero Tetrus of the Volantis party, and the defender of Pentos order and tradition, the old Governor Patsi Rotalus, commander-in-chief of the Pentos City Guard. "
"Theoretically, neither of them can help him." Celia rarely spoke.
“This is the effect he wants,” Ian smiled and shook his head, “Because in this way, he has achieved the first goal, which is to prevent Illyrio from doubting his troop mobilization.
After thinking of this, my original doubt—that there was no description of the impending civil strife in Pentos in the original work—came to my mind again.
At the same time, there was also the martial arts competition tomorrow that was not described in the original work but was already very close at hand. "